Sverdlov, Alex and Ryeznik, Yevgen (2023) Balancing the Objectives of Statistical Efficiency and Allocation Randomness in Randomized Controlled Trials. Statistics in biopharmaceutical research. pp. 1-32. ISSN 1946-6315

Abstract

Various restricted randomization procedures are available to achieve equal (1:1) allocation in a randomized clinical trial. However, for some procedures, there is a nonnegligible probability of imbalance in the final numbers which may result in an underpowered study. It is important to assess such probability at the study planning stage and make adjustments in the design if needed. In this paper, we perform a quantitative assessment of the tradeoff between randomness, balance, and power of restricted randomization designs targeting equal allocation. First, we study the small-sample performance of biased coin designs with known asymptotic properties and identify a design with an excellent balance–randomness tradeoff. Second, we investigate the issue of randomization-induced treatment imbalance and the corresponding risk of an underpowered study. We propose two risk mitigation strategies: increasing the total sample size or fine-tuning the biased coin parameter to obtain the least restrictive randomization procedure that attains the target power with a high, user-defined probability for the given sample size. Our approach is simple and yet generalizable to more complex settings, including trials with stratified randomization and multi-arm trials with possibly unequal randomization ratios.

Item Type:	Article
Keywords:	Biased coin design, equal allocation, maximum tolerated imbalance, power, restricted randomization, variability in the allocation proportion
Date Deposited:	25 Oct 2023 12:15
Last Modified:	25 Oct 2023 12:15
URI:	https://oak.novartis.com/id/eprint/49916